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Worth Knowing
NATO Announces AI Strategy and Billion Euro Innovation Fund: The North Atlantic Treaty Organization announced the adoption of a new AI strategy and the creation of a €1 billion “NATO Innovation Fund” to support emerging tech innovation. The full strategy has not been released, but a summary outlines its aims, including: developing responsible AI for the alliance’s defense, accelerating AI adoption and increasing interoperability, and defending against AI threats. The strategy also outlines six “Principles of Responsible Use of Artificial Intelligence in Defence” — lawfulness, responsibility and accountability, explainability and traceability, reliability, governability, and bias mitigation — that the alliance’s members pledged to observe. The simultaneously-announced NATO Innovation Fund, meanwhile, will invest in “dual-use technologies of potential application to defence and security.” As Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg explained, the fund — together with NATO’s tech accelerator announced earlier this year — will help the alliance harness innovation from the private sector and incorporate emerging technologies into its arsenal.
- More: “NATO-Mation”: Strategies for Leading in the Age of Artificial Intelligence | CSET: The Path of Least Resistance: Multinational Collaboration on AI for Military Logistics and Sustainment
- More: Approval for Nvidia’s ARM acquisition might come down to the wire | Is the Metaverse Really Going to Happen? Nvidia Is Betting Yes
Government Updates
Signs of Movement for Tech Competitiveness Bill Stuck in the Mud: With the U.S. Innovation and Competition Act (USICA) bogged down in the House, its backers are looking for ways to kickstart its progress — or at least save some of its popular aspects. The bill, passed by the Senate in June, aims to bolster competitiveness with China by pouring more than $200 billion into U.S. R&D and high tech manufacturing, including $52 billion in incentives for domestic semiconductor manufacturing (for more details on the bill, see our June coverage). While the bill’s backers initially hoped the House would quickly follow in the Senate’s footsteps by passing its own version of the bill, those efforts stalled. Last month, Politico reported that some Senate Democrats had proposed rolling the $52 billion in chip funding into the annual National Defense Authorization Act, which has yet to come up for full Senate consideration. That attempt was apparently shot down by key USICA backers, including Sens. Young and Wicker. Now, Politico reports that momentum is building to conference various China competition bills in the House with the USICA in order to finally get the bill to President Biden’s desk. Talks are still in early stages, though, and it could be some time before they bear any fruit.
Counterintelligence Chief Warns of Threats to U.S. Emerging Tech: The National Counterintelligence and Security Center, which leads U.S. counterintelligence efforts, is prioritizing the defense of five key technologies — AI, autonomous systems, semiconductors, quantum computing, and biotech — in the face of threats from China and Russia. According to a document released by the center, the NCSC will increase its outreach to companies and researchers in these fields to help them guard against economic espionage. Mike Orlando, who took over as acting director of the NCSC earlier this year, said these state-backed campaigns have targeted “hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth” of U.S. technology, through both illicit and licit means. While a number of espionage cases (including unsuccessful ones) have drawn attention to the former, Orlando warned that some forms of legal cooperation — including research partnerships, acquisitions and investments, and talent recruitment — also put U.S. research at risk. In addition to stepped-up outreach efforts, the NCSC has created a new position focused specifically on counterintelligence for emerging and disruptive technologies.
U.S. and UK Forces Test Joint AI Capabilities: Last month, the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory and the UK Defence Science and Technology Laboratory conducted a successful demonstration of their joint machine learning capabilities. During a simulated combat situation, the two labs used a common development and deployment platform to quickly share data and select well-suited algorithms and AI capabilities. The teams made use of UK-developed Model Cards — brief summaries of a model’s purpose and underlying features — to efficiently select appropriate models, as well as the U.S. government’s StreamlinedML, a platform meant to build and deploy machine learning workflows. The exercise was the result of a four-year partnership agreement, signed last year, meant to improve U.S.-UK collaboration on AI and autonomy, with similar demonstrations expected over the coming years.
In Translation
CSET’s translations of significant foreign language documents on AI
CSET’s translations of significant foreign language documents on AI
Shanghai S&T Five-Year Plan: Shanghai Municipal “14th Five-Year” Plan for Building a Science and Technology Innovation Center with Global Influence. This document is an excerpted translation of Shanghai’s five-year plan for S&T development. This is one of many detailed provincial-level economic development plans likely to follow in the wake of China’s national 14th Five-Year Plan, which was released in March 2021. Shanghai’s plan identifies a raft of emerging technologies that the city government aims to boost, and proposes a major expansion and refinement of the city’s tech transfer apparatus. This lengthy translated excerpt covers the following sections of Shanghai’s plan: part I (overview), part III (basic research and innovation), part IV (key and core technologies), part VI (talent), and part X (innovation environment).
If you have a foreign-language document related to security and emerging technologies that you’d like translated into English, CSET may be able to help! Click here for details.
Job Openings
Please apply or share the roles below with candidates in your network:
- Survey Research Analyst: Lead CSET survey design and execution in collaboration with analysts. Please apply by December 1.
- AI Research Subgrant (AIRS) Program Director: CSET’s AIRS program will promote the exploration of foundational technical topics that relate to the potential national security implications of AI over the long term via research subgrants. The Director of AIRS will manage all technical, programmatic, and financial aspects of the new AIRS program.
- Research Fellow – Cyber/AI: Conduct research on machine learning (ML) applications for cybersecurity to assess their potential and identify recommendations for policymakers (background in ML programming or cybersecurity highly desired).
- Senior Fellow: Provide mentorship and intellectual leadership; shape and lead lines of inquiry and research projects aligned to our research priorities; and facilitate engagements with government, military, academic, and industry leaders.
- Georgetown’s Walsh School of Foreign Service, the home institution for CSET, is hiring for a Professor of the Practice in Security Studies and Director of External Education and Outreach: This three-year, non-tenure-line faculty position in the Security Studies Program will have teaching administrative responsibilities. The candidate would teach four courses a year and oversee SSP’s external education and outreach activities. A Ph.D. with a specialization in a security-related area is preferred. The start date for this position is January 1, 2022, though flexibility on start date is possible. Application closes on Saturday (November 6).
What’s New at CSET
REPORTS
- Harnessed Lightning: How the Chinese Military is Adopting Artificial Intelligence by Ryan Fedasiuk, Jennifer Melot and Ben Murphy
- Trends in Robotics Patents: A Global Overview and an Assessment of Russia by Margarita Konaev and Sara Abdulla
- No Permits, No Fabs: The Importance of Regulatory Reform for Semiconductor Manufacturing by John VerWey
- Federal Prize Competitions: Using Competitions to Promote Innovation in Artificial Intelligence by Ali Crawford and Ido Wulkan
- CSET: Data Snapshot: Terrorism, AI, and Social Media Research Clusters by Sara Abdulla
- CSIS: Winning the Tech Talent Competition: Without STEM Immigration Reforms, the United States Will Not Stay ahead of China by Remco Zwetsloot
- Nikkei Asia: How to make the Quad truly quadrilateral by Husanjot Chahal and Ngor Luong
Foretell has launched a new project that combines expert and crowd judgment. You can read more about the experts’ views, including how they think trends like China’s military aggression, political polarization, and the strength of the tech sector affect the DOD-Silicon Valley relationship. See all 20 forecast questions associated with this project here.
IN THE NEWS
- The Wall Street Journal: An article by Sha Hua about visa restrictions for Chinese students cited the CSET briefs Assessing the Scope of U.S. Visa Restrictions on Chinese Students by Remco Zwetsloot, Emily Weinstein and Ryan Fedasiuk and Universities and the Chinese Defense Technology Workforce by Fedasiuk and Weinstein.
- The Wall Street Journal: Fedasiuk earned another WSJ citation when Kate O’Keefe previewed the then-upcoming report Harnessed Lightning: How the Chinese Military is Adopting Artificial Intelligence, written by Fedasiuk, Jennifer Melot and Ben Murphy, in an article about Congressional efforts to limit Chinese access to critical U.S. technology.
- South China Morning Post: After Harnessed Lightning went live, Linda Lew recapped the report in an SCMP article last week.
- ChinAI, Sinocism, and CSIS Tech Update: Fedasiuk, Melot and Murphy’s report was also a hit with newsletters, earning praise as a “Must-read link” in Jeffrey Ding’s ChinaAI newsletter, a “notable report” in CSIS’s Tech Update newsletter, and an “Essential Eight” reading in Bill Bishop’s Sinocism newsletter.
- The Record: Dina Temple-Raston picked up on Harnessed Lightning too, writing up its findings — and re-upping the March brief by Dakota Cary, Academics, AI, and APTs — in The Record.
- Forbes: In a multi-part series on semiconductors for Forbes, George Calhoun drew on Saif M. Khan, Alexander Mann and Dahlia Peterson’s The Semiconductor Supply Chain: Assessing National Competitiveness.
- MIT Technology Review: For a report on ASML’s central role in the semiconductor supply chain, Clive Thompson reached out to CSET Research Analyst Will Hunt to discuss China’s chances of accessing the company’s high-end technology.
- VentureBeat: A Kyle Wiggers article about NATO’s new AI strategy cited the 2019 brief by Ashwin Acharya and Zachary Arnold, Chinese Public AI R&D Spending: Provisional Findings.
- Politico: Melissa Heikkilä spoke to CSET’s Husanjot Chahal and Helen Toner to discuss their recent brief, Small Data’s Big AI Potential, written with Ilya Rahkovsky, for her indispensable weekly newsletter, AI: Decoded.
What We’re Reading
Report: Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2021: Annual Report to Congress, Office of the Secretary of Defense (November 2021)
Article: China Flaunts Its Offensive Cyber Power, J.D. Work, War on the Rocks (October 2021)
Report: Strengthening international cooperation on AI, Cameron F. Kerry, Joshua P. Meltzer, Andrea Renda, Alex Engler and Rosanna Fanni, Brookings (October 2021)
Upcoming Events
- November 10: CSET Webinar, Forecasting the Future of the DOD-Silicon Valley Relationship: The Wisdom of the Crowd as Arbiter of Expert Disagreement, featuring Michael Page and Catherine Aiken
- November 16-17: MIT Technology Review, CyberSecure Virtual Conference, featuring Katerina Sedova
What else is going on? Suggest stories, documents to translate & upcoming events here.