Publications

CSET produces evidence-driven analysis in a variety of forms, from informative graphics and translations to expert testimony and published reports. Our key areas of inquiry are the foundations of artificial intelligence — such as talent, data and computational power — as well as how AI can be used in cybersecurity and other national security settings. We also do research on the policy tools that can be used to shape AI’s development and use, and on biotechnology.

Analysis

AI Safety and Automation Bias

Lauren Kahn, Emelia Probasco, and Ronnie Kinoshita
| November 2024

Automation bias is a critical issue for artificial intelligence deployment. It can cause otherwise knowledgeable users to make crucial and even obvious errors. Organizational, technical, and educational leaders can mitigate these biases through training, design, and processes. This paper explores automation bias and ways to mitigate it through three case studies: Tesla’s autopilot incidents, aviation incidents at Boeing and Airbus, and Army and Navy air defense incidents.

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Read our translation of a draft Chinese national standard addressing the safety and security of generative AI services.

Read our translation of a notice from China’s Ministry of Commerce that bans the export of gallium, germanium, antimony, and superhard materials to the United States.

Formal Response

RFI Response: Safety Considerations for Chemical and/or Biological AI Models

Steph Batalis and Vikram Venkatram
| December 3, 2024

Dr. Steph Batalis and Vikram Venkatram offered the following comment in response to the National Institute of Standards and Technology's request for information on safety considerations for chemical and biological AI models.

Artificial intelligence (AI) tools pose exciting possibilities to advance scientific, biomedical, and public health research. At the same time, these tools have raised concerns about their potential to contribute to biological threats, like those from pathogens and toxins. This report describes pathways that result in biological harm, with or without AI, and a range of governance tools and mitigation measures to address them.

Data Snapshot

Funding the AI Cloud — Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft’s Cloud Computing Investments, Part 3

Christian Schoeberl and Jack Corrigan
| November 20, 2024

Data Snapshots are informative descriptions and quick analyses that dig into CSET’s unique data resources. This three-part series uses data from a variety of sources to track how three cloud providers—Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft—distribute their financial resources to create and sustain demand for their cloud services. By investing in data centers & workforce training, the large tech platforms of Amazon, Google, and Microsoft draw developers, companies, and governments to their tools & services.

Analysis

AI Safety and Automation Bias

Lauren Kahn, Emelia Probasco, and Ronnie Kinoshita
| November 2024

Automation bias is a critical issue for artificial intelligence deployment. It can cause otherwise knowledgeable users to make crucial and even obvious errors. Organizational, technical, and educational leaders can mitigate these biases through training, design, and processes. This paper explores automation bias and ways to mitigate it through three case studies: Tesla’s autopilot incidents, aviation incidents at Boeing and Airbus, and Army and Navy air defense incidents.

Sam Bresnick testified before the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology, and the Law regarding tech companies' ties to China and their implications in a future conflict scenario.

Analysis

Acquiring AI Companies: Tracking U.S. AI Mergers and Acquisitions

Jack Corrigan, Ngor Luong, and Christian Schoeberl
| November 2024

Maintaining U.S. technological leadership in the years ahead will require policymakers to promote competition in the AI market and prevent industry leaders from wielding their power in harmful ways. This brief examines trends in U.S. mergers and acquisitions of artificial intelligence companies. The authors found that AI-related M&A deals have grown significantly over the last decade, with large U.S. tech companies being the most prolific acquirers of AI firms.

Data Snapshot

Funding the AI Cloud — Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft’s Cloud Computing Investments, Part 2

Christian Schoeberl and Jack Corrigan
| November 13, 2024

Data Snapshots are informative descriptions and quick analyses that dig into CSET’s unique data resources. This three-part series uses data from a variety of sources to track how three cloud providers—Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft—distribute their financial resources to create and sustain demand for their cloud services. By investing in data centers & workforce training, the large tech platforms of Amazon, Google, and Microsoft draw developers, companies, and governments to their tools & services.

Analysis

Cybersecurity Risks of AI-Generated Code

Jessica Ji, Jenny Jun, Maggie Wu, and Rebecca Gelles
| November 2024

Artificial intelligence models have become increasingly adept at generating computer code. They are powerful and promising tools for software development across many industries, but they can also pose direct and indirect cybersecurity risks. This report identifies three broad categories of risk associated with AI code generation models and discusses their policy and cybersecurity implications.