Publications

CSET produces evidence-driven analysis in a variety of forms, from informative graphics and translations to expert testimony and published reports. Our key areas of inquiry are the foundations of artificial intelligence — such as talent, data and computational power — as well as how AI can be used in cybersecurity and other national security settings. We also do research on the policy tools that can be used to shape AI’s development and use, and on biotechnology.

Report

CSET’s 2024 Annual Report

Center for Security and Emerging Technology
| March 2025

In 2024, CSET continued to deliver impactful, data-driven analysis at the intersection of emerging technology and security policy. Explore our annual report to discover key research highlights, expert testimony, and new analytical tools — all aimed at shaping informed, strategic decisions around AI and emerging tech.

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Translation

Ministry of Public Security 2019 Budget

September 2, 2020

This is an original CSET translation of the 2019 budget of the PRC Ministry of Public Security, which is responsible for China's police forces and for maintaining social stability.

See our original translation of the final 2017 budget for the PRC State Administration of Foreign Experts Affairs (SAFEA).

See our original translation of the 2018 document detailing China’s significant reorganization of party departments and government ministries.

See our translation of the 2017 budget for the Overseas Chinese Affairs Office of the PRC State Council, which was responsible for education, propaganda, and other services aimed at Chinese nationals living abroad. The Overseas Chinese Affairs Office was eliminated in a 2018 Chinese government reorganization and its functions were assigned to the Central United Front Work Department.

Translation

People’s Bank of China 2019 Budget

August 18, 2020

See our translation of the 2019 budget for China's central bank, the People's Bank of China.

One sentence summarizes the complexities of modern artificial intelligence: Machine learning systems use computing power to execute algorithms that learn from data. This AI triad of computing power, algorithms, and data offers a framework for decision-making in national security policy.

See our translation of a draft export control bill that was being considered by China’s parliament, the National People’s Congress, as of July 2020. The bill limits exports of dual-use items, military equipment, nuclear materials and other goods of counterproliferation concern. It also sets penalties for Chinese exporters who violate the provisions of the bill.

See our translation of a 2018 article by a Chinese state think tank praising the U.S. integration of the military and civilian industrial bases as a model for China. The article argues that China can learn much about "military-civil fusion" from U.S. legislation on this issue.

Reports

Deepfakes: A Grounded Threat Assessment

Tim Hwang
| July 2020

The rise of deepfakes could enhance the effectiveness of disinformation efforts by states, political parties and adversarial actors. How rapidly is this technology advancing, and who in reality might adopt it for malicious ends? This report offers a comprehensive deepfake threat assessment grounded in the latest machine learning research on generative models.

See our translation of a short Chinese official notice from 2011 provides details on China's "Thousand Talents Program," specifically the program's procedures for recruiting and retaining non-Chinese foreign experts who can contribute to China's S&T base.