Publications

CSET produces evidence-driven analysis in a variety of forms, from informative graphics and translations to expert testimony and published reports. Our key areas of inquiry are the foundations of artificial intelligence — such as talent, data and computational power — as well as how AI can be used in cybersecurity and other national security settings. We also do research on the policy tools that can be used to shape AI’s development and use, and on biotechnology.

Report

CSET’s 2024 Annual Report

Center for Security and Emerging Technology
| March 2025

In 2024, CSET continued to deliver impactful, data-driven analysis at the intersection of emerging technology and security policy. Explore our annual report to discover key research highlights, expert testimony, and new analytical tools — all aimed at shaping informed, strategic decisions around AI and emerging tech.

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Reports

Shaping the U.S. Space Launch Market

Michael O’Connor and Kathleen Curlee
| February 2025

The United States leads the world in space launch by nearly every measure: number of launches, total mass to orbit, satellite count, and more. SpaceX’s emergence has provided regular, reliable, and relatively affordable launches to commercial and national security customers. However, today’s market consolidation coupled with the capital requirements necessary to develop rockets may make it difficult for new competitors to break in and keep the space launch market dynamic.

Data Brief

Identifying Emerging Technologies in Research

Catherine Aiken, James Dunham, Jennifer Melot, and Zachary Arnold
| December 2024

This paper presents two new methods for identifying research relevant to emerging technology. The authors developed and deployed technology topic classification and targeted research field scoring over a corpus of scientific literature to identify research relevant to cybersecurity, LLM development, and chips fabrication and design—expanding CSET’s existing set of topic classifications for AI, computer vision, NLP, robotics, and AI safety. The paper summarizes motivation, methods, and results.

Reports

Staying Current with Emerging Technology Trends: Using Big Data to Inform Planning

Emelia Probasco and Christian Schoeberl
| December 2024

This report proposes an approach to systematically identify promising research using big data and analyze that research’s potential impact through structured engagements with subject-matter experts. The methodology offers a structured way to proactively monitor the research landscape and inform strategic R&D priorities.

Data Snapshot

Funding the AI Cloud — Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft’s Cloud Computing Investments, Part 3

Christian Schoeberl and Jack Corrigan
| November 20, 2024

Data Snapshots are informative descriptions and quick analyses that dig into CSET’s unique data resources. This three-part series uses data from a variety of sources to track how three cloud providers—Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft—distribute their financial resources to create and sustain demand for their cloud services. By investing in data centers & workforce training, the large tech platforms of Amazon, Google, and Microsoft draw developers, companies, and governments to their tools & services.

Reports

AI Safety and Automation Bias

Lauren Kahn, Emelia Probasco, and Ronnie Kinoshita
| November 2024

Automation bias is a critical issue for artificial intelligence deployment. It can cause otherwise knowledgeable users to make crucial and even obvious errors. Organizational, technical, and educational leaders can mitigate these biases through training, design, and processes. This paper explores automation bias and ways to mitigate it through three case studies: Tesla’s autopilot incidents, aviation incidents at Boeing and Airbus, and Army and Navy air defense incidents.

Sam Bresnick testified before the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology, and the Law regarding tech companies' ties to China and their implications in a future conflict scenario.

Data Snapshot

Funding the AI Cloud — Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft’s Cloud Computing Investments, Part 2

Christian Schoeberl and Jack Corrigan
| November 13, 2024

Data Snapshots are informative descriptions and quick analyses that dig into CSET’s unique data resources. This three-part series uses data from a variety of sources to track how three cloud providers—Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft—distribute their financial resources to create and sustain demand for their cloud services. By investing in data centers & workforce training, the large tech platforms of Amazon, Google, and Microsoft draw developers, companies, and governments to their tools & services.

Data Snapshot

Funding the AI Cloud — Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft’s Cloud Computing Investments, Part 1

Christian Schoeberl and Jack Corrigan
| October 30, 2024

Data Snapshots are informative descriptions and quick analyses that dig into CSET’s unique data resources. This three-part series uses data from a variety of sources to track how three cloud providers—Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft—distribute their financial resources to create and sustain demand for their cloud services. By investing in data centers & workforce training, the large tech platforms of Amazon, Google, and Microsoft draw developers, companies, and governments to their tools & services.

Reports

Building the Tech Coalition

Emelia Probasco
| August 2024

The U.S. Army’s 18th Airborne Corps can now target artillery just as efficiently as the best unit in recent American history—and it can do so with two thousand fewer servicemembers. This report presents a case study of how the 18th Airborne partnered with tech companies to develop, prototype, and operationalize software and artificial intelligence for clear military advantage. The lessons learned form recommendations to the U.S. Department of Defense as it pushes to further develop and adopt AI and other new technologies.

The U.S. government has an opportunity to seize strategic advantages by working with the remote sensing and data analysis industries. Both grew rapidly over the last decade alongside technology improvements, cheaper space launch, new investment-based business models, and stable regulation. From new sensors to new orbits, the intelligence community and regulators have recognized these changes and opportunities—the U.S. Department of Defense, NASA, and other agencies should follow suit.