Publications

CSET produces evidence-driven analysis in a variety of forms, from informative graphics and translations to expert testimony and published reports. Our key areas of inquiry are the foundations of artificial intelligence — such as talent, data and computational power — as well as how AI can be used in cybersecurity and other national security settings. We also do research on the policy tools that can be used to shape AI’s development and use, and on biotechnology.

Analysis

AI Safety and Automation Bias

Lauren Kahn, Emelia Probasco, and Ronnie Kinoshita
| November 2024

Automation bias is a critical issue for artificial intelligence deployment. It can cause otherwise knowledgeable users to make crucial and even obvious errors. Organizational, technical, and educational leaders can mitigate these biases through training, design, and processes. This paper explores automation bias and ways to mitigate it through three case studies: Tesla’s autopilot incidents, aviation incidents at Boeing and Airbus, and Army and Navy air defense incidents.

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Analysis

Reducing the Risks of Artificial Intelligence for Military Decision Advantage

Wyatt Hoffman and Heeu Millie Kim
| March 2023

Militaries seek to harness artificial intelligence for decision advantage. Yet AI systems introduce a new source of uncertainty in the likelihood of technical failures. Such failures could interact with strategic and human factors in ways that lead to miscalculation and escalation in a crisis or conflict. Harnessing AI effectively requires managing these risk trade-offs by reducing the likelihood, and containing the consequences of, AI failures.

Data Snapshot

Analyzing the Directionality of Citations in the Map of Science

Autumn Toney and Melissa Flagg
| March 1, 2023

Data Snapshots are informative descriptions and quick analyses that dig into CSET’s unique data resources. This three-part series presents a method to explore and visualize connections across CSET’s research clusters and enable identification of research of interest within CSET’s merged corpus of scholarly literature and Map of Science.

Read our original translation of a draft Chinese national standard for the security of machine learning (ML) algorithms. Drafted by Chinese government entities and tech companies, the standard provides security guidelines for developers of ML models and procedures for assessing ML algorithms’ susceptibility to cyberattacks.

Analysis

Examining Singapore’s AI Progress

Kayla Goode, Heeu Millie Kim, and Melissa Deng
| March 2023

Despite being a small city-state, Singapore’s star continues to rise as an artificial intelligence hub presenting significant opportunities for international collaboration. Initiatives such as fast-tracking patent approval, incentivizing private investment, and addressing talent shortfalls are making the country a rapidly growing global AI hub. Such initiatives offer potential models for those seeking to leverage the technology and opportunities for collaboration in AI education and talent exchanges, research and development, and governance. The United States and Singapore share similar goals regarding the development and use of trusted and responsible AI and should continue to foster greater collaboration among public and private sector entities.

Read our original translation of the 2022 budget of the All-China Federation of Returned Overseas Chinese, a Communist Party-led organization that liaises with ethnic Chinese people living outside of mainland China and encourages them to support the Party in various ways.

CSET Director of Biotechnology Programs Anna Puglisi testified before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission at a hearing on "China’s Challenges and Capabilities in Educating and Training the Next Generation Workforce."

CSET Research Analyst Dahlia Peterson testified before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission at a hearing on "China’s Challenges and Capabilities in Educating and Training the Next Generation Workforce."

Analysis

One Size Does Not Fit All

Heather Frase
| February 2023

Artificial intelligence is so diverse in its range that no simple one-size-fits-all assessment approach can be adequately applied to it. AI systems have a wide variety of functionality, capabilities, and outputs. They are also created using different tools, data modalities, and resources, which adds to the diversity of their assessment. Thus, a collection of approaches and processes is needed to cover a wide range of AI products, tools, services, and resources.

Data Snapshot

Diving into Deep Learning with Keyword Cascade Plots

Autumn Toney and Melissa Flagg
| February 15, 2023

Data Snapshots are informative descriptions and quick analyses that dig into CSET’s unique data resources. This three-part series presents a method to explore and visualize connections across CSET’s research clusters and enable identification of research of interest within CSET’s merged corpus of scholarly literature and Map of Science.

Analysis

Chinese AI Investment and Commercial Activity in Southeast Asia

Ngor Luong, Channing Lee, and Margarita Konaev
| February 2023

China’s government has pushed the country’s technology and financial firms to expand abroad, and Southeast Asia’s growing economies — and AI companies — offer promising opportunities. This report examines the scope and nature of Chinese investment in the region. It finds that China currently plays a limited role in Southeast Asia’s emerging AI markets outside of Singapore and that Chinese investment activity still trails behind that of the United States. Nevertheless, Chinese tech companies, with support from the Chinese government, have established a broad range of other AI-related linkages with public and commercial actors across Southeast Asia.