Reports

CSET produces evidence-driven analysis in a variety of forms, from informative graphics and translations to expert testimony and published reports. Our key areas of inquiry are the foundations of artificial intelligence — such as talent, data and computational power — as well as how AI can be used in cybersecurity and other national security settings. We also do research on the policy tools that can be used to shape AI’s development and use, and on biotechnology.

Report

China’s Military AI Wish List

Emelia Probasco, Sam Bresnick, and Cole McFaul
| February 2026

This report examines thousands of Chinese-language open-source requests for proposal (RFPs) published by the People’s Liberation Army between January 1, 2023, and December 31, 2024. The RFPs the authors reviewed offer insights into the PLA’s priorities and ambitions for AI-enabled military technologies associated with C5ISRT: command, control, communications, computers, cyber, intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, and targeting.

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Reports

The State of AI-Related Apprenticeships

Luke Koslosky and Jacob Feldgoise
| February 2025

As artificial intelligence permeates the economy, the demand for AI talent with all levels of educational attainment will expand in kind. Apprenticeships are an effective education and training pathway for other industries, but are they suitable for AI-related roles? This report analyzes trends in AI-related apprenticeships across the United States from 2013 through 2023. It explores the growth of these programs, completion rates, demographic and geographic information, and the organizations sponsoring these programs.

Reports

Putting Explainable AI to the Test: A Critical Look at AI Evaluation Approaches

Mina Narayanan, Christian Schoeberl, and Tim G. J. Rudner
| February 2025

Explainability and interpretability are often cited as key characteristics of trustworthy AI systems, but it is unclear how they are evaluated in practice. This report examines how researchers evaluate their explainability and interpretability claims in the context of AI-enabled recommendation systems and offers considerations for policymakers seeking to support AI evaluations.

Read our translation of China’s catalog of prohibited and restricted exports, as revised in December 2023.

Reports

Shaping the U.S. Space Launch Market

Michael O’Connor and Kathleen Curlee
| February 2025

The United States leads the world in space launch by nearly every measure: number of launches, total mass to orbit, satellite count, and more. SpaceX’s emergence has provided regular, reliable, and relatively affordable launches to commercial and national security customers. However, today’s market consolidation coupled with the capital requirements necessary to develop rockets may make it difficult for new competitors to break in and keep the space launch market dynamic.

Reports

AI Incidents: Key Components for a Mandatory Reporting Regime

Ren Bin Lee Dixon and Heather Frase
| January 2025

This follow-up report builds on the foundational framework presented in the March 2024 CSET issue brief, “An Argument for Hybrid AI Incident Reporting,” by identifying key components of AI incidents that should be documented within a mandatory reporting regime. Designed to complement and operationalize our original framework, this report promotes the implementation of such a regime. By providing guidance on these critical elements, the report fosters consistent and comprehensive incident reporting, advancing efforts to document and address AI-related harms.

Read out translation of an interview of Chinese AI expert Song-Chun Zhu, who argues that China’s AI industry should chart a different course than the current U.S. focus on data- and compute-heavy large language models.

Reports

Chinese Critiques of Large Language Models

William Hannas, Huey-Meei Chang, Maximilian Riesenhuber, and Daniel Chou
| January 2025

Large generative models are widely viewed as the most promising path to general (human-level) artificial intelligence and attract investment in the billions of dollars. The present enthusiasm notwithstanding, a chorus of ranking Chinese scientists regard this singular approach to AGI as ill-advised. This report documents these critiques in China’s research, public statements, and government planning, while pointing to additional, pragmatic reasons for China’s pursuit of a diversified research portfolio.

Read our translation of a Chinese government policy document that encourages the creation of “new-style R&D institutions,” which differ from traditional Chinese laboratories and research institutes in that they are not state-run and have additional sources of income besides government funding.

Read our translation of statements issued by four Chinese industry associations condemning the December 2, 2024 U.S. sanctions against Chinese companies.

Data Brief

Identifying Emerging Technologies in Research

Catherine Aiken, James Dunham, Jennifer Melot, and Zachary Arnold
| December 2024

This paper presents two new methods for identifying research relevant to emerging technology. The authors developed and deployed technology topic classification and targeted research field scoring over a corpus of scientific literature to identify research relevant to cybersecurity, LLM development, and chips fabrication and design—expanding CSET’s existing set of topic classifications for AI, computer vision, NLP, robotics, and AI safety. The paper summarizes motivation, methods, and results.