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Worth Knowing
Google’s Joke-Explaining Language Model and the Future of LLMs: Earlier this week, Google debuted its new 540 billion parameter Pathways Language Model (PaLM), which appears to show significant improvements over state-of-the-art large language models across a number of benchmarks and tasks. In its announcement, Google included several impressive demonstrations of the model’s abilities, including joke explanation, chain-of-thought and cause-and-effect reasoning, and code generation. PaLM’s size and performance were made possible by Google’s Pathways system, which enabled training across thousands of accelerator chips at high levels of efficiency. GPT-3 and subsequent large autoregressive language models have shown that increasing the size of a model results in improved performance — which accounts for the last few years’ dramatic rise in model size. However, most of them were trained on a single system or used pipeline parallelism to train across multiple GPU clusters or TPU pods (with a maximum scale of 4096 TPU chips). Pathways allowed Google to conduct pipeline-free training at high levels of efficiency across two TPU pods containing 6144 chips. While these scaling advances make it feasible to use even larger compute infrastructures to build better models, given the high cost of compute, they may also centralize cutting-edge AI development even further among a small group of well-financed institutions.
- More: PaLM: Scaling Language Modeling with Pathways | DeepMind accused of mishandling sexual misconduct allegations | On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots: Can Language Models Be Too Big?
- More: This horse-riding astronaut is a milestone in AI’s journey to make sense of the world | Move over, Photoshop: OpenAI just revolutionized digital image making | AI and the Future of Disinformation Campaigns
- More: Big online firms face 0.1% supervisory fee under new EU rules | Europe’s Digital Markets Act Takes a Hammer to Big Tech
Government Updates
Biden Budget Includes AI Funding: President Biden announced his FY2023 budget request late last month, a $5.8 trillion proposal with substantial funding proposed for AI and emerging technology:
- The budget includes a $773 billion request for the Pentagon, approximately $30 billion higher than Congress approved for the FY2022 budget. Under the proposed budget, the DOD’s total Research, Development, Test and Evaluation (RDT&E) spending would soar to its highest level ever — $130.1 billion, more than 9 percent higher than FY2022 levels. While the Pentagon’s Science and Technology budget would fall by 13 percent — to approximately $16.5 billion — DARPA would see a 7 percent boost to $4.1 billion. That builds on the 10 percent increase it already received for FY2022. The request also establishes and funds the office of the Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Officer — the new unit meant to oversee the work of three of the Pentagon’s primary AI and data offices and its key AI efforts.
- It would direct $880 million to the NSF Directorate for Technology, Innovation, and Partnerships — a new directorate, announced last month, that will focus on advancing critical and emerging technologies and bringing them to market.
- It includes $187 million in new NIST research initiative spending, focused on speeding the adoption of AI and other emerging technologies by developing new standards.
Third Time the Charm for U.S.-EU Data Deal?: On March 25, the United States and the European Union announced they had reached agreement on a framework for transatlantic data sharing. While exact details about the agreement still have to be hammered out, a White House fact sheet says the United States has made “unprecedented commitments” to bolster privacy and civil liberty protections and provide redress to EU individuals through a multi-layer redress mechanism, which will include an “independent Data Protection Review Court.” The announcement comes almost two years after Europe’s top court struck down the previous agreement that governed data transfers, the EU-U.S. Privacy Shield, on the grounds that it did not adequately protect EU citizens’ privacy, especially from U.S. intelligence authorities’ activities. Since that ruling, the transatlantic data environment has stood on ambiguous legal ground, and a number of U.S. companies, including Mailchimp and Google, have had their services banned by regulators in EU member states over privacy concerns. Both the Privacy Shield agreement and its predecessor, the Safe Harbor accord, were struck down by the European Court of Justice because of legal challenges brought by Austrian lawyer and privacy advocate Max Schrems. Schrems said he will wait for more details to be released but is ready to challenge the new deal “if it is not in line with EU law.”
A DOD News Roundup: It’s been a busy two weeks for DOD news, with several recent stories that could impact the future of AI and emerging technology in the military:
- On March 28, the DOD transmitted the 2022 National Defense Strategy to Congress. The strategy, produced every four years, is still classified, but Undersecretary of Defense Colin Kahl tweeted that an unclassified version will be released “in the coming months.” A DOD fact sheet briefly mentions the importance of “undertaking reforms to accelerate force development [and] getting the technology we need more quickly,” though the two-page document is very short on details. But the fact that the Biden administration briefed Congress on the strategy in order to explain its RDT&E-heavy budget proposal likely indicates a significant technological focus.
- Last week, the Defense Innovation Unit and Defense Acquisition University announced plans to launch and implement an Immersive Commercial Acquisition Training Program, an initiative meant to train DOD acquisition personnel in the “broader use of agile acquisition methods” for emerging commercial technologies. DIU was founded in 2015 in order to help the military accelerate its acquisition of cutting-edge tech. The new program aims to transfer some of DIU’s knowledge to the DOD’s acquisition officers and help build a bridge between the upstart unit and the rest of the Pentagon. The program is planned to launch officially in October.
- The Pentagon has delayed plans to award a contract for its Joint Warfighter Cloud Capability (JWCC) initiative until December. The DOD had said it hoped to award contracts for the five-year, multi-vendor cloud computing project by this month, but, according to DOD CIO John Sherman, that timeline was too ambitious. The JWCC contract is meant to replace the ill-fated Joint Enterprise Defense Infrastructure cloud contract, a 10-year, $10 billion deal with Microsoft that the DOD scrapped last year. Four companies — Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Oracle — have been invited to bid on the contract.
In Translation
CSET’s translations of significant foreign language documents on AI
CSET’s translations of significant foreign language documents on AI
PRC State Laboratory Recap: 2016 Annual Report on State Key Laboratories. This document lists all of China’s state key laboratories and summarizes their key accomplishments in 2016. An appendix includes contact information for all 254 state key labs and all seven pilot national laboratories. The document also briefly notes the results of a 2016 evaluation of the 75 biology- and medicine-related state key labs, which gave one lab a failing grade and identified another eight as in need of improvement.
If you have a foreign-language document related to security and emerging technologies that you’d like translated into English, CSET may be able to help! Click here for details.
Job Openings
We’re hiring! Please apply or share the roles below with candidates in your network:
- Data Scientist: We are currently seeking applications for a Data Scientist to explore research questions leveraging CSET’s unique data holdings. Apply by April 18.
- UI/UX Designer: We are currently seeking applications for a UI/UX Designer to perform user interviews, write user stories, create user interface mockups, and conduct usability testing for public-facing Emerging Technology Observatory products. Apply by April 18.
- Software Engineer: Software Engineer to assist with data cleaning and normalization, data pipeline development and/or web development, and creating automated test suites for CSET’s new Emerging Technology Observatory. Apply by May 6.
What’s New at CSET
REPORTS
- The Long-Term Stay Rates of International STEM PhD Graduates by Jack Corrigan, James Dunham and Remco Zwetsloot
- The National Interest: To Compete With China, America Must Compete With Itself by Ali Crawford and Dakota Cary
- Foreign Policy: Russia’s Urban Warfare Predictably Struggles by Margarita Konaev
- CSET: Into the Jungle: Best Practices for Open-Source Researchers by Ryan Fedasiuk
- CSET: Examining Patent Data in PARAT: Top Patenters by Sara Abdulla
- All Things Policy Podcast: Exploring India-US Cooperation in Military AI featuring Husanjot Chahal
- Director of Biotechnology Programs and Senior Fellow Anna Puglisi joined Craig Singleton, Bonnie Glick, Phelim Kine and RADM (ret.) Mark Montgomery for a Foundation for Defense of Democracies event, “Disrupting China’s Military-Academic Complex.” Senator Marco Rubio and Jonathan Schanzer provided opening remarks. Watch a recording of the event here.
- The Wire China: Research Fellow Emily Weinstein discussed research security after the China Initiative with Eliot Chen.
- Time: Time Magazine’s Brian Bennett spoke to Associate Director of Analysis and Research Fellow Margarita Konaev about the Russian military and Vladimir Putin’s grip on power.
- The Washington Post: Konaev also discussed the realities of urban warfare with William Booth, Robyn Dixon and David L. Stern for an article about high-ranking Russian casualties during the invasion of Ukraine.
- Bloomberg: Clara Ferreira Marques reached out to Konaev for a piece about Russia’s Chechen wars and what they might mean for Ukraine.
- Fortune: Konaev offered insight about the Russian military’s AI development in a recent Jonathan Vanian piece.
- Grid: Benjamin Powers also spoke with Konaev about the Russian tech industry’s brain drain.
- South China Morning Post: Research Analyst Will Hunt discussed the U.S. semiconductor industry’s need for foreign talent with SCMP’s Che Pan.
What We’re Reading
Report: Artificial Intelligence: DOD Should Improve Strategies, Inventory Process, and Collaboration Guidance, United States Government Accountability Office (March 2022)
Commentary: The New Arms Race: Sanctions, Export Control Policy, and China, Jeannette Chu, CSIS (March 2022)
Upcoming Events
- April 14: CSET Webinar, Securing Tomorrow’s AI Workforce, featuring Diana Gehlhaus, Nicol Turner Lee, Shalin Jyotishi and John Piorkowski
What else is going on? Suggest stories, documents to translate & upcoming events here.