Crowd Outperforms Projections from Historical Data in Early Results

Michael Page

March 23, 2021

Foretell was CSET's crowd forecasting project focused on technology and security policy. It connected historical and forecast data on near-term events with the big-picture questions that are most relevant to policymakers. In January 2022, Foretell became part of a larger forecasting program to support U.S. government policy decisions called INFER, which is run by the Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security at the University of Maryland and Cultivate Labs.